Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.090272 0.100493 0.111015 0.122628 0.135058 0.147938 0.162268
2024-12-29 0.072870 0.088082 0.104601 0.123746 0.145198 0.168373 0.195179
2025-01-05 0.060818 0.079230 0.100197 0.125529 0.154998 0.187902 0.227115
2025-01-12 0.051668 0.072134 0.096464 0.126946 0.163546 0.205531 0.256782
2025-01-19 0.044109 0.065787 0.092613 0.127346 0.170224 0.220568 0.283271
2025-01-26 0.041930 0.065792 0.096230 0.136599 0.187440 0.248118 0.324750
2025-02-02 0.037246 0.061868 0.094343 0.138547 0.195403 0.264422 0.352842
2025-02-09 0.033683 0.059016 0.093475 0.141487 0.204397 0.281900 0.382412
2025-02-16 0.029579 0.054902 0.090493 0.141296 0.209134 0.293952 0.405294
2025-02-23 0.028472 0.055067 0.093317 0.148831 0.223917 0.318730 0.444198
2025-03-02 0.027020 0.054520 0.095006 0.154753 0.236591 0.340933 0.480091
2025-03-09 0.023615 0.050501 0.091355 0.152986 0.238808 0.349603 0.498847
2025-03-16 0.019829 0.045552 0.086161 0.149033 0.238268 0.355121 0.514309
2025-03-23 0.018487 0.044662 0.087083 0.153920 0.249987 0.376963 0.551211
2025-03-30 0.016968 0.043277 0.087119 0.157462 0.259889 0.396560 0.585500
2025-04-06 0.015345 0.041487 0.086355 0.159712 0.267954 0.413775 0.616864
2025-04-13 0.013615 0.039248 0.084667 0.160418 0.273746 0.427938 0.644320
2025-04-20 0.013818 0.040917 0.089565 0.171361 0.294414 0.462499 0.699089
2025-04-27 0.012572 0.039420 0.088966 0.173680 0.302588 0.480095 0.731483
2025-05-04 0.011619 0.038415 0.089122 0.177134 0.312419 0.500031 0.767154
2025-05-11 0.010238 0.036248 0.087060 0.176917 0.316764 0.512381 0.792714
2025-05-18 0.010179 0.037139 0.090536 0.185718 0.334627 0.543676 0.844065
2025-05-25 0.009875 0.037399 0.092838 0.192619 0.349713 0.571210 0.890519